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                <gco:CharacterString>NCEI Accession 0248633 v1.1 was published.</gco:CharacterString>
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                <gco:DateTime>2022-03-09T22:14:09Z</gco:DateTime>
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                        <gco:CharacterString>NCEI Accession 0248633 v1.1</gco:CharacterString>
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                                    <gco:CharacterString>published 2022-03-09T22:14:09Z</gco:CharacterString>
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                <gco:CharacterString>Parameter or Variable: True Model;
Abbreviation: True Model;
In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: manipulation condition;
Detailed sampling and analyzing information: The true model is that used to forecast the population dynamics. Available models are: 0: base model - no environmental impacts; 8: SST impact on growth increment, nursery ground impact on recruitment, and pH impact on survival when there is annual variation in the kappa growth parameter; 9:SST impact on growth increment, nursery ground impact on recruitment, and pH impact on survival when there is annual variation in the Linf growth parameter.;
Uncertainty: N/A;
Method reference: Punt, A.E., Dalton, M.G., Cheng, W., Hermann, A.J., Holsman, K.K., Hurst, T.P., Ianelli, J.N., Kearney, K.A., McGilliard, C.R., Pilcher, D.J. and M. Veron. 2021. Evaluating the impact of climate and demographic variation on future prospects for fish stocks: An Application for northern rock sole in Alaska. Deep Sea Res. II. 189-190: 104951.;
Researcher name: Andre Punt;
Researcher institution: University of Washington</gco:CharacterString>
              </gmd:description>
            </gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
          </gmd:processStep>
          <gmd:processStep>
            <gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
              <gmd:description>
                <gco:CharacterString>Parameter or Variable: Estimation model;
Abbreviation: Estimation model;
In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: manipulation condition;
Detailed sampling and analyzing information: The estimation model is the model on which the values for the reference points are based. Models are: 0: base model - no environmental impacts; 8: SST impact on growth increment, nursery ground impact on recruitment, and pH impact on survival when there is annual variation in the kappa growth parameter; 9:SST impact on growth increment, nursery ground impact on recruitment, and pH impact on survival when there is annual variation in the Linf growth parameter. The estimation model is N/A for projections based on recent average fishing mortality. Weight-at-age is set to the average for the five years prior to the year to which the reference points apply.;
Uncertainty: N/A;
Method reference: Punt, A.E., Dalton, M.G., Cheng, W., Hermann, A.J., Holsman, K.K., Hurst, T.P., Ianelli, J.N., Kearney, K.A., McGilliard, C.R., Pilcher, D.J. and M. Veron. 2021. Evaluating the impact of climate and demographic variation on future prospects for fish stocks: An Application for northern rock sole in Alaska. Deep Sea Res. II. 189-190: 104951.;
Researcher name: Andre Punt;
Researcher institution: University of Washington</gco:CharacterString>
              </gmd:description>
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          </gmd:processStep>
          <gmd:processStep>
            <gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
              <gmd:description>
                <gco:CharacterString>Parameter or Variable: Harvest control rule;
Abbreviation: Type of control rule;
In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: manipulation condition;
Detailed sampling and analyzing information: The strategy is the form of the harvest control rule. The options are "Constant F", where the fishing mortality rate is the same irrespective of the biomass on the stock and "40-5" where fishing mortality is reduced from its nominal (or target) value to 0 from 40% to 5% of unfished spawning biomass;
Uncertainty: N/A;
Method reference: Punt, A.E., Dalton, M.G., Cheng, W., Hermann, A.J., Holsman, K.K., Hurst, T.P., Ianelli, J.N., Kearney, K.A., McGilliard, C.R., Pilcher, D.J. and M. Veron. 2021. Evaluating the impact of climate and demographic variation on future prospects for fish stocks: An Application for northern rock sole in Alaska. Deep Sea Res. II. 189-190: 104951.;
Researcher name: Andre Punt;
Researcher institution: University of Washington</gco:CharacterString>
              </gmd:description>
            </gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
          </gmd:processStep>
          <gmd:processStep>
            <gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
              <gmd:description>
                <gco:CharacterString>Parameter or Variable: Target fishing mortality rate;
Abbreviation: Strategy;
In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: manipulation condition;
Detailed sampling and analyzing information: The target fishing mortality rate is the fixed fishing mortality rate for the constant F strategy and the maximum fishing mortality rate for the 40-5 strategy. The options are: (a) Average F - the average fishing mortality rate for 2016-2020; (b) F35% (2020/2090) - the fishing mortality rate corresponding to a 35% reduction in spawning biomass-per-recruit from its unfished level based on biological parameters for 2020 and 2090; (c) F35 (2020/2090)- the fishing mortality rate corresponding to a spawning biomass that is 35% of the unfished level based on biological parameters for 2020 and 2090; (d) FMEY - the fishing mortality rate at which Maximum Economic Yield (MEY) occurs based on the biological parameters in 2020 nd 2090. Note that F35% and F35 are the same when the estimation model is model 0 (no environmental impacts on the biological parameters).;
Uncertainty: N/A;
Method reference: Punt, A.E., Dalton, M.G., Cheng, W., Hermann, A.J., Holsman, K.K., Hurst, T.P., Ianelli, J.N., Kearney, K.A., McGilliard, C.R., Pilcher, D.J. and M. Veron. 2021. Evaluating the impact of climate and demographic variation on future prospects for fish stocks: An Application for northern rock sole in Alaska. Deep Sea Res. II. 189-190: 104951.;
Researcher name: Andre Punt;
Researcher institution: University of Washington</gco:CharacterString>
              </gmd:description>
            </gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
          </gmd:processStep>
          <gmd:processStep>
            <gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
              <gmd:description>
                <gco:CharacterString>Parameter or Variable: Probability that profit is negative between 2020 and 2029;
Abbreviation: Prob (Neg profit) (2020-29);
In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: response variable;
Measured or calculated: Calculated;
Calculation method and parameters: Output of bio-economic population dynamics model;
Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Probability over draws from the posterior distribution that the profit in any year between 2020 and 2029 is less than zero.;
Uncertainty: Characterized using Bayesian methods;
Method reference: Punt, A.E., Dalton, M.G., Cheng, W., Hermann, A.J., Holsman, K.K., Hurst, T.P., Ianelli, J.N., Kearney, K.A., McGilliard, C.R., Pilcher, D.J. and M. Veron. 2021. Evaluating the impact of climate and demographic variation on future prospects for fish stocks: An Application for northern rock sole in Alaska. Deep Sea Res. II. 189-190: 104951.;
Biological subject: Northern rock sole;
Species ID: ITIS: 616392;
Researcher name: Andre Punt;
Researcher institution: University of Washington</gco:CharacterString>
              </gmd:description>
            </gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
          </gmd:processStep>
          <gmd:processStep>
            <gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
              <gmd:description>
                <gco:CharacterString>Parameter or Variable: Average catch during 2020-2029;
Abbreviation: Catch (2020-29);
Unit: Thousand tonnes;
In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: response variable;
Measured or calculated: Calculated;
Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Median and 90 % intervals (over draws from the posterior) for the average catch between 2020 and 2029;
Uncertainty: Characterized using Bayesian methods;
Method reference: Punt, A.E., Dalton, M.G., Cheng, W., Hermann, A.J., Holsman, K.K., Hurst, T.P., Ianelli, J.N., Kearney, K.A., McGilliard, C.R., Pilcher, D.J. and M. Veron. 2021. Evaluating the impact of climate and demographic variation on future prospects for fish stocks: An Application for northern rock sole in Alaska. Deep Sea Res. II. 189-190: 104951.;
Biological subject: Northern rock sole;
Species ID: ITIS: 616392;
Researcher name: Andre Punt;
Researcher institution: University of Washington</gco:CharacterString>
              </gmd:description>
            </gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
          </gmd:processStep>
          <gmd:processStep>
            <gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
              <gmd:description>
                <gco:CharacterString>Parameter or Variable: Average profit during 2020-2029;
Abbreviation: Profit (2020-29);
Unit: Million $ (Real 2019 USD);
In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: response variable;
Measured or calculated: Calculated;
Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Median and 90 % intervals (over draws from the posterior) for the average profit between 2020 and 2029;
Uncertainty: Characterized using Bayesian methods;
Method reference: Punt, A.E., Dalton, M.G., Cheng, W., Hermann, A.J., Holsman, K.K., Hurst, T.P., Ianelli, J.N., Kearney, K.A., McGilliard, C.R., Pilcher, D.J. and M. Veron. 2021. Evaluating the impact of climate and demographic variation on future prospects for fish stocks: An Application for northern rock sole in Alaska. Deep Sea Res. II. 189-190: 104951.;
Biological subject: Northern rock sole;
Species ID: ITIS: 616392;
Researcher name: Andre Punt;
Researcher institution: University of Washington</gco:CharacterString>
              </gmd:description>
            </gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
          </gmd:processStep>
          <gmd:processStep>
            <gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
              <gmd:description>
                <gco:CharacterString>Parameter or Variable: Probability that profit is negative between 2090 and 2099;
Abbreviation: Prob (Neg profit) (2090-99);
In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: response variable;
Measured or calculated: Calculated;
Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Probability over draws from the posterior distribution that the profit in any year between 2090 and 2099 is less than zero.;
Uncertainty: Characterized using Bayesian methods;
Method reference: Punt, A.E., Dalton, M.G., Cheng, W., Hermann, A.J., Holsman, K.K., Hurst, T.P., Ianelli, J.N., Kearney, K.A., McGilliard, C.R., Pilcher, D.J. and M. Veron. 2021. Evaluating the impact of climate and demographic variation on future prospects for fish stocks: An Application for northern rock sole in Alaska. Deep Sea Res. II. 189-190: 104951.;
Biological subject: Northern rock sole;
Species ID: ITIS: 616392;
Researcher name: Andre Punt;
Researcher institution: University of Washington</gco:CharacterString>
              </gmd:description>
            </gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
          </gmd:processStep>
          <gmd:processStep>
            <gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
              <gmd:description>
                <gco:CharacterString>Parameter or Variable: Average catch during 2090-2099;
Abbreviation: Catch (2090-99);
Unit: Thousand tonnes;
In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: response variable;
Measured or calculated: Calculated;
Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Median and 90 % intervals (over draws from the posterior) for the average catch between 2090 and 2099;
Uncertainty: Characterized using Bayesian methods;
Method reference: Punt, A.E., Dalton, M.G., Cheng, W., Hermann, A.J., Holsman, K.K., Hurst, T.P., Ianelli, J.N., Kearney, K.A., McGilliard, C.R., Pilcher, D.J. and M. Veron. 2021. Evaluating the impact of climate and demographic variation on future prospects for fish stocks: An Application for northern rock sole in Alaska. Deep Sea Res. II. 189-190: 104951.;
Biological subject: Northern rock sole;
Species ID: ITIS: 616392;
Researcher name: Andre Punt;
Researcher institution: University of Washington</gco:CharacterString>
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            </gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
          </gmd:processStep>
          <gmd:processStep>
            <gmi:LE_ProcessStep>
              <gmd:description>
                <gco:CharacterString>Parameter or Variable: Average profit during 2090-2099;
Abbreviation: Profit (2090-99);
Unit: Million $ (Real 2019 USD);
In-situ / Manipulation / Response variable: response variable;
Measured or calculated: Calculated;
Detailed sampling and analyzing information: Median and 90 % intervals (over draws from the posterior) for the average profit between 2090 and 2099;
Uncertainty: Characterized using Bayesian methods;
Method reference: Punt, A.E., Dalton, M.G., Cheng, W., Hermann, A.J., Holsman, K.K., Hurst, T.P., Ianelli, J.N., Kearney, K.A., McGilliard, C.R., Pilcher, D.J. and M. Veron. 2021. Evaluating the impact of climate and demographic variation on future prospects for fish stocks: An Application for northern rock sole in Alaska. Deep Sea Res. II. 189-190: 104951.;
Biological subject: Northern rock sole;
Species ID: ITIS: 616392;
Researcher name: Andre Punt;
Researcher institution: University of Washington</gco:CharacterString>
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